Subdued monsoon expected in Pakistan until August 12 as death toll from rains remains at 303

A man wades through a flooded street amidst heavy monsoon rains in Rawalpindi on July 17, 2025. (AFP)
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  • House collapses caused about 55 percent of this season’s deaths, followed by drowning and flash floods
  • Nearly 47 percent of the deceased were children, National Disaster Management Authority data show

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s monsoon activity is likely to remain subdued until August 12, with a possible revival over the upper half of the country from August 13, the Meteorological Department said on Friday, as the nationwide death toll from rain-related incidents held steady at 303.

The outlook came as authorities continue to assess damage from weeks of downpours, which began in late June. According to the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA), over 730 people have also been injured since June 26, more than half of them in Punjab province.

Children accounted for nearly 47 percent of the deceased.

“No significant flood situation is expected in any of the major rivers up to 13th August,” the Met Office said, although it warned of increasing river flows due to water releases from upstream reservoirs in India.

The NDMA’s latest daily situation report noted no new casualties or injuries in the last 24 hours, but warned of residual impacts, particularly in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), where five houses were partially damaged and six livestock perished in the districts of Haripur and North Waziristan.

House collapse remains the leading cause of death during this monsoon season, accounting for 55.1 percent of fatalities, followed by drowning (17.8 percent) and flash floods (14.9 percent).

Pakistan is among the countries most vulnerable to the effects of climate change, frequently experiencing heatwaves, glacial lake outburst floods and erratic rainfall.

In 2022, the country suffered catastrophic flooding that submerged a third of its territory, displaced millions of people and caused over $30 billion in damage, according to government and international estimates.

Climate scientists say Pakistan’s exposure to extreme weather events has increased due to warming temperatures, shrinking glaciers and changing monsoon patterns, prompting the government to push for climate finance and adaptation support at international forums.